As some of you might know, The Academy Awards are this Sunday night. This is a good and bad thing. While I always enjoy watching the Oscars in terms of tradition, the ceremony itself can get a little long and overstuffed each year. Watching a three and a half hour awards ceremony doesn’t have the same bite as watching a three and a half hour Bruce Springsteen concert for me (I was wondering how long it would take to shoehorn that one in). But, since the Oscars are coming up, I typically do my predictions in all of the major categories right before the ceremony. If my predictions are right, it should be a pretty straight-forward and surprise-free ceremony this year. I gotta get back to prepping for SXSW in a bit (more on that in the next week or so), so let’s dive straight into this.
The nominees for Best Supporting Actress are:
- Viola Davis – “Fences”
- Michelle Williams – “Manchester by the Sea”
- Naomie Harris – “Moonlight”
- Nicole Kidman – “Lion”
- Octavia Spencer – “Hidden Figures”
I have only seen two of the performances in this category, Naomie Harris’s and Michelle Williams’s. They were both great, but these two don’t have a chance against Viola Davis. I have yet to see Fences, but I hear nothing but great things about this performance. She won the Golden Globe and the SAG Award (the latter being the biggest indicator). While I haven’t seen the film, I want Viola Davis to win. She’s one of the finest actors of not just this generation, but of all time. I’m really happy that she’ll probably end up an Oscar-winner this Sunday night.
The nominees for Best Supporting Actor are:
- Mahershala Ali – “Moonlight“
- Michael Shannon – “Nocturnal Animals“
- Dev Patel – “Lion“
- Jeff Bridges – “Hell or High Water“
- Lucas Hedges – “Manchester by the Sea“
Mahershala Ali basically has this one in the bag. His performance in Moonlight, albeit a short and brief performance, was remarkable. Ali as the charismatic and lovable drug dealer father-figure for Chiron was a beautiful and moving turn by Ali, an actor that I’ve been fond of for years. I don’t see anybody else taking home this award in this category tomorrow night. It’s nice to see Lucas Hedges nominated for Manchester by the Sea, and it’s always great seeing Michael Shannon nominated. Mahershala Ali has this one, and I couldn’t be happier about this.
The nominees for Best Actress are:
- Emma Stone – “La La Land“
- Natalie Portman – “Jackie“
- Meryl Streep – “Florence Foster Jenkins“
- Isabelle Huppert – “Elle“
- Ruth Negga – “Loving“
- Denzel Washington – “Fences“
- Casey Affleck – “Manchester by the Sea“
- Ryan Gosling – “La La Land“
- Viggo Mortensen – “Captain Fantastic“
- Andrew Garfield – “Hacksaw Ridge“
- Damien Chazelle – “La La Land“
- Barry Jenkins – “Moonlight“
- Denis Villeneuve – “Arrival“
- Kenneth Lonergan – “Manchester by the Sea“
- Mel Gibson – “Hacksaw Ridge“
- Hacksaw Ridge
- Hell or High Water
- Hidden Figures
- La La Land
- Manchester by the Sea
I’ve seen five of the nine films nominated for Best Picture. I enjoyed all five of them. I’m really happy that Hell or High Water was nominated for Best Picture. That was such a fun little movie, and I’m glad that more people will see the movie now that it’s been nominated. But it doesn’t stand a chance to La La Land. People love this movie, and the Academy obviously loves the film (it’s up for 13 Oscars). Expect La La Land to be the big winner Sunday night.
I hope you enjoyed my brief Oscar predictions. If you want to see my live reaction to it all, I’ll be live tweeting the ceremony tomorrow night. Follow me on Twitter (@MrJakeSalinas) for the latest updates/snarky analysis. Have a good weekend everybody.